Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.427753 0.468177 0.511388 0.561121 0.616919 0.677742 0.749266
2026-02-08 0.362691 0.419276 0.483976 0.563904 0.660641 0.774760 0.920795
2026-02-15 0.320868 0.384580 0.460786 0.559590 0.685680 0.843084 1.057435
2026-02-22 0.293579 0.362133 0.447141 0.561787 0.714659 0.914827 1.202427
2026-03-01 0.268562 0.339128 0.429263 0.554869 0.728676 0.965755 1.322697
2026-03-08 0.247375 0.318708 0.412177 0.546199 0.737804 1.008889 1.434743
2026-03-15 0.226529 0.296817 0.390925 0.529187 0.732497 1.029460 1.513840
2026-03-22 0.217648 0.290300 0.389817 0.539880 0.767349 1.111370 1.696370
2026-03-29 0.209084 0.283434 0.387427 0.548051 0.798530 1.190006 1.882793
2026-04-05 0.200128 0.275284 0.382411 0.551544 0.822266 1.258529 2.060205
2026-04-12 0.191567 0.267074 0.376597 0.553076 0.842568 1.322817 2.237853
2026-04-19 0.184599 0.260715 0.373003 0.557571 0.867715 1.397259 2.443615
2026-04-26 0.174079 0.248558 0.360013 0.546342 0.865984 1.425534 2.567029
2026-05-03 0.167676 0.242308 0.355766 0.549044 0.888360 1.499316 2.791941
2026-05-10 0.160277 0.234072 0.347827 0.544869 0.898012 1.550214 2.976782
2026-05-17 0.154829 0.228561 0.343846 0.546995 0.918964 1.624419 3.222778
2026-05-24 0.147989 0.220469 0.335177 0.540300 0.922886 1.665424 3.400753
2026-05-31 0.141317 0.212311 0.325932 0.531907 0.922773 1.698069 3.564219
2026-06-07 0.133576 0.202061 0.312669 0.515438 0.905725 1.693954 3.638634
2026-06-14 0.131280 0.200623 0.314151 0.525790 0.941976 1.805856 4.019566
2026-06-21 0.128668 0.198515 0.314339 0.533700 0.973948 1.912104 4.406397
2026-06-28 0.125431 0.195194 0.312223 0.537081 0.996859 2.000709 4.763284
2026-07-05 0.122068 0.191499 0.309241 0.538564 1.015855 2.082446 5.117369